Updated Surplus Numbers

Updated Surplus Numbers
Updated Surplus Numbers: Actual surplus 2018 per audit was $85,163.
Boards 2011-2018 implemented policies and procedures with specific goals:
stabilize owner fees, achieve maintenance objectives and achieve annual budget surpluses.
Any surplus was retained by the association.
The board elected in fall 2018 decided to increase owner fees, even in view of a large potential surplus

Average fees prior to 2019

Average fees prior to 2019
Average fees per owner prior to 2019:
RED indicates the consequences had boards continued the fee policies prior to 2010,
BLUE indicates actual fees. These moderated when better policies and financial controls were put in place by boards

Better budgeting could have resulted in lower fees

Better budgeting could have resulted in lower fees
Better budgeting could have resulted in lower fees:
RED line = actual fees enacted by boards,
BLUE line = alternate, fees, ultimately lower with same association income lower had
boards used better financial controls and focused on long term fee stability

Saturday, December 30, 2017

2017 - A Year of Fun

0 comments


Bookmark and Share



As 2017 comes to an end, it has been another year of fun on the board at BLMH.

The board tackled one of three stream segments this year and completed a common area deck which had begun in 2013. Both of these projects actually atrophied for more than a decade. Earlier boards went for large, visible projects such as the re-roofing, but couldn't do much of anything else because they or their predecessors had failed to save.

Turning our Titanic around has had its fun moments. I'm not a proponent of spending money on flashy projects, so under my watch it has been primarily about dealing with the crisis and breakdowns created by others.   Doing so has been as much a grind as it has been a party. However, it can be satisfying to see others live in their cone of impossibility and then show then how really stupid they have been.   They'll never learn of course, so after three years of trying I stopped. Much better and more satisfying to deal with REAL problems instead of the personal agendas of others.

I think this demonstration is just about over and has run its course.

We now have two boards. One forward thinking and forward looking and the other mired in the past.

I did complete my 2018 project list and I have completed the estimates for their cost.  Meanwhile the "Henny Penny" is still fighting be battles of a decade ago. Too bad they are so little and so late. The owners could have been spared a lot of pain with a little timeliness.

I'll probably publish the project list in February 2018. Whatever happens will be determined by the entire board. There will be some stonewalling of course. If you can't build anything then perhaps all that one can do is tear down anything and everything around them.

Being on the board since 2010 has brought back some fond memories. I was one of a large number of children. When it came to doing chores, or anything they didn't want to do, some of the siblings had be dragged kicking and screaming all of the way. Boards are like that!



We live in a 40 year old HOA - OMG, the sky is falling

0 comments

Bookmark and Share



Our HOA is 40 years old. Is that a problem? It does need maintenance and for over a decade the boards have spent more than $250,000 each and every year catching up to the problems and maintenance backlog. However, there is always an opportunity for grandstanding, and some board members need to be heard. A few have lived in the past and at least one desperately needs to be heard and loves to run management and even maintenance on wild goose changes. 

In a HOA 40 years old there is some reality to face. Many aspects of our association buildings don't meet current building code standards. This is not a secret, nor is it really a big deal, unless a board member or an owner wants to make it one. "Stupid is as stupid does."

A couple of years ago it was "the water mains are failing." More recently it was "we don't have enough money and we need higher fees". That was true for a large portion of the life of this HOA, but when given the power of the presidency, not all will put it to good use. Power can take on a life of its own. Separating the big problems from the small ones is worth doing. But I think some of our board members developed some poor habits over the years. If you can't deal with the really big problems, then make a lot of noise about the small ones and then deal with those.

A 40 year old HOA is an opportunity for any grandstanding board members to make  a public statement, and to become a nuisance. It has happened before and I'm sure it will happen again in the future of this HOA. Human nature can be petty and when worry takes hold, well, we may cater to the lowest common denominator and the most fearful among us.

Here's the problem we face. With 336 units, any baloney when multiplied can result in significant financial problems for the association and our owners. It's simple math. A $1000 contrived problem in one unit can become a $336,000 burden for the entire association. Of course, if the same board member who raises these same specters is also a proponent of higher fees, as in "Our fee increases are too low" then the issues become apparent.

I for one do tire of dealing with those who are stuck in the past. I think do think it might be the time to sell my unit and move on. There is a lot of good I can do with 500 free hours per year.

I'm sure there will be dancing in the streets!

Wednesday, December 27, 2017

Brrr! A real arctic blast

0 comments


I guess the "polar vortex" is back?  Things have gotten quite chilly all the way to the east coast.




The heater in the utility room is doing well; this has the purpose of preventing the pipes from freezing. I'm currently 1800 miles distant, but this is what the conditions were a few minutes ago:





Wednesday, December 20, 2017

The end of home ownership? A look at tax changes

0 comments


Bookmark and Share



The probable passing of the tax overhaul bill has created a lot of dis- or mis-information. As noted at the Wall Street Journal in an article entitled "The Tax Reform Promise":

"The media are now chortling with Democrat Chuck Schumer that Republicans will “rue the day” they passed this. Actual CNN headline: “Public opposition to tax bill grows as vote approaches.” But we’d dislike this bill too if all we knew was what the media reported ". (Emphasis is mine).

A lot of self-serving people and politicians are predicting the end of the world, yet again. For homeowners or condominium owners, one "expert" was quoted in the Wall Street Journal as saying "There’s really no difference between owning and renting in the tax code anymore for most Americans.” -That's according to Ed Mills, a Washington policy analyst at financial-services firm Raymond James & Associates, in an article entitled "GOP Tax Overhaul Makes Homeownership Less Appealing".

However, the numbers show differently. For example, there is a lot of hoopla about decreasing the deduction for mortgage interest to "only" mortgage debt up to $750,000.

What's reality? According to Zillow: "The median price of homes currently listed in the United States is $259,900 while the median price of homes that sold is $225,262. The median rent price in the United States is $1,600."

Here are some things coming out about the tax bill. As usual, if you are really concerned, check with your accountant or tax professional.

The bill allows taxpayers to claim a deduction on interest on up to $750,000 of mortgage debt on a first or second home. In other words, anyone with a home mortgage at BLMH will be able to claim the interest on the mortgage. However, homeowners will no longer be able to deduct the interest paid on home-equity debt.

Under the new bill, the amount that taxpayers can deduct per return for state income or sales taxes, as well as for property taxes, is capped at $10,000. That should not pose a problem for most owners at BLMH.

"Most families with children will benefit from a rise in the standard deduction to $12,000 from $6,350 for single filers and to $24,000 from $12,700 for married couples. Many families will also see reductions in their marginal tax rate, or what they pay to the government if they earn another dollar."

According to the tax policy center: "in 2018, families with children under 17 will see tax cuts that average from $210 a year for the lowest 20% of earners—those making $20,690, on average—to $9,330 for the top 20%, earning $400,530, on average. Those in the second, third and fourth income quintiles—with average incomes of $44,460, $80,050, and $135,440—will see average tax cuts of $820, $1,420, and $2,230, respectively...".

The end of the world? Hardly.

[Addition: The "Tax Policy Center" is a liberal organization, so I am sure they really hated putting that information out. Yet politician Schumer insists the tax bill aids “only the wealthiest few” and is simply to "help the rich and hurt the middle class." Even the "Tax Policy Center" numbers don't support his absurdity.]

Another disaster!

0 comments


Bookmark and Share


I guess it's over?

This is apparently my next opportunity to suffer mightily. Some at BLMH apparently would say "Life is Hell."

The tax bill is supposed to pass and I have it on good authority it will be "Armageddon....like Death" to quote politician Pelosi. Politician Schumer says it is an "absolute catastrophe."

I have it on good authority from the same people that I barely escaped "Death camps" a short time ago. Meanwhile, the Dreamers are all headed to "Concentration Camps".

I must has missed the end of the world in November when Nibiru, or Planet X, supposedly influenced the earth.

 I think I'll watch the Wizard of Oz and sing along with Dorothy and her Merry Band: "Lions and Tiger and Bears...Oh My!" Perhaps I should also watch that portion of the movie and "Pay no attention" to the charlatans behind the curtain?

Monday, December 18, 2017

What's the chances of meaningful snowfall for Christmas?

0 comments


Bookmark and Share


What's the chances of meaningful snowfall for Christmas? Here's the NOAA historical probability map.



Sunday, December 17, 2017

A zero percent fee increase

0 comments

Bookmark and Share



Our board decided upon a 0% fee increase for 2018.

While preparing my article for the newsletter, I advised owners that "this is a rarity" and it is.  It is impossible to say what will occur in October 2018 when the next board meets to decide the budget for 2019.

Here are a few of my observations:
  1. It takes years to build large deficits or large surpluses.
  2. Recent boards have taken a pragmatic approach.
  3. Recent boards have take an approach supported by good data.
  4. Not all owners cooperate which is why legal costs for our fireplace fiasco hit more than $40,000 this year. That fiasco was entirely a consequence of builder error and City of Wheaton Building Inspector incompetence. Yet we were sued by the City of Wheaton.
The association board will be evaluating actual 2017 costs after the end of the calendar year. At that time we'll know how we actually did. We can't predict snowfall in November-December when we prepare the budget in September. Nor can be predict the total manhours required to maintain our nearly 40 acres. Yet, it seems we'll be within +/-100 hours for the year. 

I have completed my maintenance/project list for 2018. Staying ahead and performing proactive/preventative maintenance is one of the ways to keep costs to a real minimum. For example, we've proactively replaced about 300 feet of water main. Is it an accident that our water main failures are reducing? I think our maintenance efforts are paying off. 

We are now addressing maintenance issues ignored and "put under the bus" more than 10 years ago.



Sunday, November 12, 2017

Kidde Disposable Fire Extinguisher Recall

0 comments

Bookmark and Share



A recall has been made of two styles of Kidde disposable fire extinguishers. There is additional information on the Kidde website and a link is included in this post.

From the Wheaton Weekly November 8, 2017:


"State Fire Marshal Warns of Fire Extinguisher Recall


The Office of the State Fire Marshal warns of an important recall notice for Kidde brand fire extinguishers due to a failure to properly activate during a fire emergency. The recall affects 134 models of Kidde fire extinguishers manufactured between January 1, 1973 and August 15, 2017. Affected consumers should immediately contact Kidde for a free replacement fire extinguisher. Contact Kidde toll-free at 855-271-0773 or go to www.kidde.com and click on “Product Safety Recall” for additional information."


A summary from the Kidde website, Kidde Copyright © 2017. All rights reserved. The information below is provided as a public safety notice. Go to the Kidde website for complete information and how to identify the affected extinguishers and what to do.


Kidde Logo | Product Safety Recall

"Summary: This product recall involves two styles of Kidde disposable fire extinguishers:
  • Plastic handle fire extinguishers
  • Plastic push-button fire extinguishers
This Recall does not include Kidde Professional or Badger branded fire extinguishers. Units with metal handles/valve assemblies are not included in the recall."

Read the Full Announcement on the CPSC Website (Opens in a new browser window)

Frequently Asked Questions (Opens in a new browser window)



Here's the Kidde website recall link:


https://inmarmarketaction.com/kidde/Kidde284US/

Friday, November 10, 2017

Sometimes Twice is the Charm - Budget Passed

0 comments

Bookmark and Share



BLMH had the second election last night. This time we did achieve a quorum and so the candidates were elected. This allowed the owners to make the decision, rather than be a board of appointees. We now have seven board members, the first time in a few years.

About 20 owners attended the meeting. We didn't repeat the presentations for the first "annual meeting" because this was a two part meeting with the second part the normal business monthly meeting. So any owner who didn't attend the September annual meeting missed those presentations.

I'm pleased that the owners decided to vote in sufficient numbers to have a valid election. Frustrating? Yes. This redo added a lot of work at a time that the association is attempting to finalize budgets, outdoor maintenance and repairs, and plan for 2018. As I stated in an earlier post, it must be wonderful to live in La-La Land; that's a magical place where people simply show up to do the work as volunteers, while the majority pays their fees and sits back. Of course, it could be worse. The vast majority of our owners are financially responsible and do pay the monthly fees in a timely manner. So we can be thankful for that. 

As part of the business meeting the proposed budget was passed. Prior to that owners were asked if they had any comments and there were none from the floor.

I've begun working on project lists, task agendas and financial plans for 2018.



Wharton on Leadership: Why Leaders Are Made, Not Born

0 comments

Bookmark and Share


Over at the Wharton School of Business they have posted an article about Leadership. That is something all board members find themselves in a position to provide.

We sometimes think that leadership is a trait. It is something we are born with. The article is entitled "Why Leaders Are Made, Not Born".

"Inspired by her own struggles, Harvard Business School historian Nancy Koehn turned to figures from the past who overcame adversity to leave a lasting mark on civilization. She learned that true leaders are those who can forge through impossible odds with intelligence, compassion and resilience. Koehn has captured the stories of five inspiring historical figures in her book, Forged In Crisis: The Power of Courageous Leadership in Turbulent Times. They include Abraham Lincoln, who presided over the United States at a pivotal time in its young history; Frederick Douglass, an abolitionist who escaped slavery to become a writer and a statesman; Dietrich Bonhoeffer, a German clergyman who became a double agent against the Nazis; Ernest Shackleton, a polar explorer who survived a shipwreck on an ice floe; and Rachel Carson, a scientist whose work sparked the modern environmental movement. Koehn recently joined the Knowledge@Wharton show on SiriusXM channel 111 to discuss her book and why true leaders are made, not born."

Here's the link to the article:

Wharton: Why Leaders are Made, Not Born


Thursday, November 9, 2017

Budget Improvement 2018

0 comments

Bookmark and Share



There are many challenges to accomplishing budget improvements. It requires the control of budgets which is not easy in a large and aging association. Performing maintenance and infrastructure work in a timely and proactive manner has the potential of reducing future breakdowns and future maintenance costs. It also spreads these costs more equitably among owners, both today and in the future. Annual efforts to control costs with no reduction in services is also essential.   From time to time boards may be inclined to handle budgets by "kicking the can down the road". This my be accomplished by delaying certain maintenance and projects. Since 2010 it has been my position that such delays are a critical mistake. I am of the opinion that once an association falls behind, it becomes difficult or impossible to catch up. This is particularly true if associations don't acquire and build the necessary funds.

These budgets are the fuel to accomplish all things in running the business of the association. Money is a tool. It must be used with caution and for good purpose.  Of course, when an association fails to accumulate the funds necessary to perform infrastructure work or repairs, there are several approaches:

  1. Delay work until the required funds are accumulated.
  2. Increase fees to allow the accumulation of the required funds.
  3. Borrow money to fund the work.
  4. Simultaneously do some or all of the above. 

The trend line in the following chart indicates that if the association had continued on the path followed from 2001 to the present day, our budgets would be 10.2% higher today than they are. That also means that owner fees would be 10.2% greater than they currently are.

Fees from Budgets 2001-2018
The association prepared the proposed budget for 2018. This was reviewed and discussed by the four board members during the October association meeting. We currently have four board members because insufficient owners voted during the annual election. The election is being re-run and we'll see if sufficient owners become involved to elect the three candidates. That would give the association seven board members. However, the budget process cannot wait; it must be done in a timely manner.

The budget process for calendar year (CY) 2018 was straightforward. The association projects a surplus to the Operations and Maintenance budget for 2017. That's helpful as it does indicate that the budgeting for 2017 was conservative and it also validates the budget approach and controls used by the association. Those numbers assist the board in identifying problem areas.  However, one must be cautious.  A lot could happen during the remaining three months of the year.

One of the issues our association has is determining actual year end numbers based upon September 30 books. There is a certain amount of guesswork involved.  In general boards would much rather achieve a surplus than a shortfall. Any surplus will flow to reserves as of December 31, 2017.

The association has sent the proposed 2018 budget to all of the owners. There were three owners present for the budget meeting.. One of these owners is a former treasurer and Architecture & Maintenance director for the association. He made the observation that the board is doing a good job with the budgets.

It has taken some years. As can be seen in the chart at the top of this post the annual budgets stabilized in 2013 at about $1,320,000. Boards have made some effort to stabilize costs while performing maintenance and infrastructure work. As a consequence the projected budget for 2018 is about $1,350,000. In other words, the association budget for six years 2013-2018 has increased by about 2.25%. While this is a good thing, it also must be acknowledged that budgets did increase about 59% in the 10 year period 2001-2010 and about 82% overall since 2001 to the present.

Keeping budgets in check has allowed annual fee increases to be lower.

To aid future boards, the association president has requested that the budget add a column for "Actual 12/31/2017" after the December 31  books are closed. Currently the budget includes the following columns:
  • Approved 2017 Budget (approved in 2016)
  • Year to Date (YTD) 9/30/2017
  • Projected year-End 12/31/2017
  • Proposed 2018 Budget
This column will be added:
  • Actual year end 12/31/2017
It has been discussed that it would be preferred to do the budget after the end of the calendar year. One board member has argued this isn't possible. It would require adjusting fees at an effective date other than January 1. For example, from April 1 of 2018 to April 1 of 2019. That would seem to be merely a bookkeeping and billing issue.

Monday, November 6, 2017

Thank You, Mike Madigan!

0 comments


Bookmark and Share


Some Recent News Headlines:

"Since January 2007, the labor force in Illinois has decreased by 300,000. "(US Department of Labor).
"Reeder: Illinois is losing jobs and people. Why make the problem worse with a tax hike?.....The politicians got us into this mess by spending too much and making grandiose promises that the state just couldn't afford. Now, they want you and me to pay for their irresponsibility." (Chicago Tribune).

"Illinois, once a jobs magnet, is losing its pull to lure firms, workers.....Illinois, once an industrial leader, has become an afterthought to captains of industry planning to make sizable investments of new factories or research facilities. Wisconsin, it seems, is the new Illinois. Before long, many of you will be commuting north to work as companies with long pedigrees here head for the border or new firms plant their roots in Wisconsin within striking distance of Illinois." (Lake County-News-Sun).

"Illinois loses 3,000 manufacturing jobs in August, worst since recession...In one month, Illinois manufacturing sector lost all of the jobs it had gained in the last 12 months, marking one of the worst employment reports for the state's lagging economy since the recession. A preliminary report released by the Illinois Department of Employment Security shows August saw 3,000 lost manufacturing jobs. This loss of employment is the worst month in Illinois since fall of 2009. The unemployment rate also rose to 5 percent." (Illinois News Network)

Illinois hearing on why state lost Foxconn deal not expected to talk state business climate....There’s a difference of opinion on why Illinois loses businesses to other states, but that won’t be the focus of a hearing next week to evaluate why Illinois lost tech manufacturer Foxconn’s North America location to Wisconsin. A House Government Transparency Committee hearing originally scheduled for last week when lawmakers were in Springfield for veto session had the subject line, “Why Illinois lost the Foxconn deal.” “With the budget that was passed, it’s more borrowing, more spending, more taxing,” Halbrook said. “It didn’t do anything to help the business climate to grow jobs, to encourage new employers to come in and hire more people.”" (Illinois News Network)




Friday, October 20, 2017

Winter Weather Predictions 2017-2018

0 comments

Bookmark and Share




It is fall and the NOAA has released the temperature and moisture predictions for winter. The Midwest has a change of more moisture than usual.

"October 19, 2017 Forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released the U.S. Winter Outlook today, with La Nina potentially emerging for the second year in a row as the biggest wildcard in how this year’s winter will shape up. La Nina has a 55- to 65-percent chance of developing before winter sets in." -- NOAA

Our association is sending owners the "Winter Tips" as part of the newsletter, which will be issued to residents and offsite owners in a week or so. The updated version will also be posted on the official BLMH website.


Temperature prediction

Precipitation prediction



Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Elections? We don't need no stinking elections!

0 comments

Bookmark and Share


Our HOA election was, well, in a word, a "disaster".

What do I mean? Fewer than 20 percent of the owners voted, and about 10% attended the annual meeting.  So we now have only four duly elected board members in a HOA of 336 owners. That's a 1.2% participation rate.

Even more indicative was the annual budget meeting. That's the meeting during which the board, with management assistance, arrives at a budget for the next 12 months. This requires balancing Operations & Maintenance, and reserve requirements with fees. The result is the determination of fees for the next year.

So how many owners attended this really critical meeting? We had four board members to do the work, because the owners couldn't be bothered with the mundane chore of voting. Then we had three former board members in the audience. Yes, you did read that correctly. Seven people attended this critical meeting and all were either current or former board members.

Wow, it must be wonderful to live in La-La Land.

When this HOA is like Cook County, then the owners will come out of the woodwork and complain. "You reap what you sow" is the biblical expression.

During the budget meeting one owner raised the potential issues of electric cars on the property and the recommendation for the HOA to invest in electric metering stations. Recently a long term owner complained about the problems facing ducks on the property.

Yep, we do have to have our priorities. As long as there are schleppers like me to do the bidding of these spoiled brats, nothing will change.   Our longest serving board member used to state "we walked the grounds [32 acres] and picked up trash". Yep that's what is wanted and needed. Servants.

When the proverbial "shit hits the fan" then the owners will show up and complain and state "How could this happen?" How indeed.


Sunday, October 15, 2017

Record October Rainfall & Possible Flooding - Video

0 comments
Bookmark and Share


Monday morning October 16:  The level of Lake 4 is falling and is now about 4 inches below yesterday's high water point.  At 9:41pm on the 14th I received a broadcast email from a neighbor to the south about the situation. I responded at 11:55am Sunday morning with an update and a link to this blog post.   "Here’s current conditions including Wheaton lakes 3& 4 and COD pond 9".  On Sunday the rain had stopped, but the lake level was increasing. It does take some time for these chained ponds to stabilize after the rain ceases. Water flows throughout the watershed downhill from pond A to 1, then 2, then 3 and finally to 4. As this occurs the level of lake 4 continues to increase, even if the downours are over. Lake 4 is at the bottom of this chain and is also fed by Glen Ellyn/COD's Hoddinott marsh, Pond 9 and GE's storm sewers. I'm not sure everyone understands that. I did not get a reply from Crystal. Not really surprised.

5:00PM Situation Update, October 15: The level of Lake 4 has risen about 1-1/2 inches in the last six hours. Lake 4 has not overtopped. Water continues to flow from Lake 3 to Lake 4 above ground and also via the underground storm pipe. The level of Lake 3 has fallen about 2 inches. Lake 4 levels won't decrease until the flow from Lake 3 and COD decrease.

Observation: We usually have at least one board member monitoring extreme events in the neighborhood such as this one.  I saw several dog owners walking their pet and a jogger while doing my tasks. None are on the board, of course and some don't live at BLMH. I beat my 60 minute exercise goal for the day by 21 minutes. Simply by walking a good portion of 32 acres several times today. I'm sure there are those who would say "I'm fortunate". But then I had people telling me in my 52nd year in the work force that "I was fortunate I could work".

11:30am COD Pond & Wheaton Lake conditions, October 15: Currently there is water flowing from Glen Ellyn's College of Dupage Pond 9 into Wheaton's Lake 4. The water level upstream in Lake 3 is such that there is water flowing above ground from Lake 3 to Lake 4. The water level in Lake 4 seems to be slowly rising with less than a half-inch increase in the past hour and a half. If this continues and the rate of rise remains constant, it could be expected for the lake level to rise about 2 inches by 5pm today. That's not a prediction as rain or upstream events can impact this.  The level of Lake 4 cannot decrease until the inflows from Glen Ellyn, COD and Wheaton's Lake 3 decrease below Lake 4's outflow. It is a race.

Original post 11:50 am October 15:

Flood Warning October 14:
We got flood warning messages on our Verizon cellphones last night at about 10:00pm. Really liked the pop-up message. We knew it was a gusher as there was crazy downpour.

Rain Gage:
A nearby electronic rain gauge registered 6.375 inches as of about 9:30am. The good news is the sun has come out and it appears this storm is over.  Here's a NWS estimate for the area:

NWS 24-hour estimated rainfall Oct 14, 2017

Lake and COD Pond conditions, 9:30am:
G and I walked the lakes this morning. COD's  pond 9 has overtopped and is flowing into the Hoddinott marsh, and also into Wheaton's Lake 4. Wheaton's Lake 3 level has exceeded the height of the discharge basin, and water is currently exiting the basin and is flowing downstream above ground and into Lake 4. This is in addition to the underground storm sewer which connects Lake 3 to Lake 4.

The positive is Lake 4 has a ways to go before it overtops, but the lake levels is now above the overflow.  It is going to be a race. Will the outflow of Lake 4 be sufficient before the Hoddinott water level reaches the lowest point of the berm, in Glen Ellyn and then flows into Wheaton?  A decrease in the flow of water from COD's Pond 9 and Wheaton's Lake 3 will be necessary to avoid overtopping Lake 4.  I'll be monitoring conditions throughout the day and will provide a blog update.

Current Weather Conditions:

NWS Today: A chance of showers before 11am, then patchy drizzle between 11am and noon. Mostly cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 54 by 4pm. Breezy, with a northwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Flood Warning Map 10:07am Oct 15, 2017

Video:



Sunday, September 24, 2017

Hot and Abnormally Dry

0 comments


Bookmark and Share



Here's the latest from the United States Drought Monitor, University of Nebraska, September 21, 2017:




Thursday, September 7, 2017

Approaching the HOA Election 2017

0 comments
Bookmark and Share



There will be some surprises at the 2017 association annual meeting. I guarantee it.

As I write this the annual HOA election is approaching. Our association operates on a calendar year, yet we hold elections in September and the new board, or the re-elected old board will promptly sit down in October and jockey for positions. They will also create the budget for 2018. That budget will determine owner fees commencing January 1, 2018.

This year we have three open board positions out of seven. However, all of our board members have been on the board for at least two terms. One has been on the board for more than 30 years, with a brief vacation when overthrown and the board of 2008 was elected in a "palace revolt".

It will be interesting to see who runs for the three open positions.

I will be making some serious announcements at the annual meeting, and an equally serious presentation. About a third of our owners may attend. We have a substantial number of new owners. I won't reveal my presentation here, I may post it after the election. However, I don't want to promote an apartment dweller mentality in our HOA. So it is likely the posting of my presentation will be delayed by about a year.

After the election, the first task for the board will be to determine positions.  I've been the president for several years, simply because the leader of the group which previously screwed it up didn't want to take responsibility and because some board members decided a new path was the better one.  So we came to a "truce" and I was the lucky winner.

2018 will be a new year. Perhaps we'll return to the tired, politically motivated past?

I have worn the dual hat of "Architecture&Projects" director as well as "Architecture &Projects &Maintenance" and also as "president".  The position actually encompassed "architecture, projects and maintenance" but under my suggestion one of our newer board members has taken on the maintenance aspects. Maintenance is part of the "Operations & Maintenance" budget. Architecture & Projects is related to the "Reserve" budget, which pays for all of our infrastructure/capital project expenditures. A lot of coordination is required between "maintenance" and "projects" directors.

In our HOA nearly 75% of the annual fees goes into maintenance, landscaping and architecture/projects. Which is why our fees and budgets got so far out of kilter by 2001. Back in the "good old days" boards focused on Operations & Maintenance and glossed over Reserves and long term projects. So the average increase in fees to handle O&M was about 1.5% each year. That is, until they board began planning the roofing project. From the period 2001-2010 that board increased fees for reserves by about 65% each and every year. Reserves rose from about 6% of our annual budget and owner fees, to a peak of more than 33%.

That's the price owners pay for letting boards run wild. It gets worse. In 2010 a new board, unfettered by the shackles of the old guard, commissioned a reserve study. First ever. That study revealed a scary scenario. As a consequence, the board of 2010 further increased the fees for reserves. As the newest board member I acquired a target on my back. One little old lady screamed "I hate you" as I walked the property.  I actually saved their butts, while the real instigators, the boards prior to 2008 ducked and played political games. So much for one's oath about "fiduciary duties." I concluded that "stupid is as stupid does."

These fee increases have since stabilized. Why that is so is one of my topics for the annual meeting. Will such fee moderation continue is another. Has the past few years been merely the "eye of the hurricane"?


Monday, September 4, 2017

Video: A detailed look at HOA budgets, with real numbers and valid concerns

0 comments


Bookmark and Share



This post provides a glimpse into the finances of our Association. It provides insights into the budgets and the problems of budgeting. It includes a short video.

Sit back and enjoy the show.

As I write this the annual HOA election is approaching. With three open positions it will be interesting to see who steps up to be a board member. In this HOA, there is a real lack of interest in doing so. About a half of the owners vote, and about a third attend the annual meeting. Will this year be different?





Friday, September 1, 2017

When Reserves are Insufficient What is the Solution?

0 comments

Bookmark and Share



I've posted numerous times about HOA finances on this blog. There are valid reasons. For 15 years I've been observing others, including owners and boards at BLMH  and elsewhere. I've concluded the greatest trip hazards for both individuals and HOA's revolve around finances. Five years after purchase I found this HOA to be in a severe crisis with a terrible national financial disaster on the horizon and bearing down upon all of us. In 2006 I prepared. The previous posts have set the stage, as it were. After all, why post about things of no consequence?

This post is about identifying the signs of financial insufficiency and points out issues and possible solutions. By 2010 the problems in the HOA were apparent to the naked eye and any competent observers. In 2010 the HOA was experiencing serious failures of some infrastructure, a large backlog of maintenance projects, a large and expensive roofing project which was undertaken in 2002-2003 but was only about 20% complete, insufficient funds and very angry and fearful owners. There has been a real transformation in this HOA. I am pleased to have been a part of it.

My secret weapon? Owners really do want to be informed. I do think owners purchase a unit for a purpose beyond an appreciating apartment. There is a distinction to be recognized between resident owners and non-residents. However, all owners are interested in financial success. Owners want to maintain their quality of life. Owners do have a financial stake in the outcome. Many, but not all owners do want to be treated as stakeholders and shareholders. I operate accordingly.

What are the Critical Steps and Priorities when Financial Disaster  or Insufficiencies are Revealed?
  1. One must live in the present, but also recognize how the HOA got into the current situation. Recognizing reality is a prerequisite to dealing with it. These are human systems, and human beings elected the boards that failed and those voters are in various stages of denial and also in various stages of anger and upset. 
  2. A HOA board member is performing a service as a fiduciary in a not-for-profit corporation. It is a business and the owners are the shareholders. If one cannot be of service to others and treat all owners fairly and equally, then when a crisis strikes it is a time to reevaluate one's participation on the board. There are serious and consequential problems to solve. It will require resolve and competency. It will require balancing compassion for the individual with the requirements of the whole. Boards cannot make special rules for a few. Boards cannot disempower the whole. Boards can ask other owners to pass the hat to support others in financial need. But it cannot use the finances of the HOA to benefit a few. If that is a real problem for you, then you need to state so and then resign. Your resignation may empower others to act. If you choose to stay you will disempower others and become a boat anchor to progress. If you choose to return when things improve, you are operating for yourself, not for others.
  3. A failure to recognize the true magnitude of the problem will disempower you. In really serious situations failure will be far easier than any success.  The primary steps are those necessary to unconceal the true nature and magnitude of the problem. Only then can solutions be determined. Everything else is a "band-aid" and that was the approach of boards leading up to 2008. The easiest way to become disempowered and disabled is to ignore reality. 
  4. Define your goals. What would you consider to be the minimum standard for "HOA success"? Then create a more ambitious goal and become committed to achieving that.  Better to fail at a worthy goal than achieve an insufficient or lackluster one.
  5. There is responsibility and then there is accountability. To create accountability one has to step over the line of responsibility and publish. So be accountable. 
  6. Publicise the goals for the HOA, if you truly consider them to be worthwhile. Cowards hide behind unrevealed commitments. If you truly want to accomplish you goals you must publicize them. Boards will either align or not. However if the goals truly are worthwhile you will accomplish them and boards will agree to proceed. 
  7. Be your word.
  8. Don't operate as a reaction. Become a source of creation. 
  9. Attract at least a few board members who are up to the task. As shareholders it is the responsibility of owners to elect competent boards. Getting capable people on the board can take a few years. Good luck. 
  10. When owners are faced with serious HOA problems there will more than enough blame to go around. You must find a way to step outside of that circle. If not you will become a target for angry owners or simply another ineffective tool to be used by other board members while they plan their escape.  Everyone loves to shoot the messenger. 
  11. It would be natural to move from denial to resignation. That is not a solution. Move beyond into positive, affirmative action.  Then design a system of fulfillment which will ultimately bring in other owners. 
  12. If it really seems impossible, then create demonstration projects from the backlog list that create the statement "Yes, we can do this."
  13. Recognize that some will never figure this out and will prefer to practice something else. 
  14. Create a shift in owners from blame to empowerment. 
  15. Know your skill limitations and operate accordingly. 
  16. Create alliances with useful experts. Partnership is vital when dealing with adversity and dealing with seemingly insurmountable problems. At our HOA the 2008 board and the owners who elected that board decided that the previous board was incompetent; all but one was replaced. They also decided that management was the enemy and acted accordingly. Going still farther, they decided to get rid of all of the current contractors because "An army of handymen could maintain this place". That was a critical error in judgement, and an act of real desperation.  My first duty as a board member was to prevent such extreme, irresponsible actions from occurring so as not to exacerbate an already serious and nearly insurmountable problem.  
  17. Focus on stability. Long term stability. There is more than enough chaos around us and what owners really want it stability, so they can go about their everyday lives, with no concerns about the roof over their heads and the finances of the HOA. 
  18. Having friends or being popular is not the goal when running a HOA and believe me, the board does run it. Recognize that an entrenched board is a problem and combined with owner apathy is what most likely created the problem. Also recognize that creating a replacement board  which uses a "buddy system" with friends in the audience is not a solution and may magnify the crisis.  
  19. The HOA is a business. Operate it like one. 
  20. What is required is committed partners. Find them. 
  21. What is also required is people who will do the work. Knowledge of PCs, finance, spreadsheets, using email and word processors really is necessary. You will find that is not a requirement in many HOAs for board members. Simply another obstacle to success.  
  22. Board members are volunteers. That means some may consider their position to be one of power. Others board members may view it as largely ceremonial and something to put on a resume, or in their LinkedIn profile. Real work may be something for others to do.  Your failure to recognize this will create unrealistic expectations and obstacles to success in reaching your stated goals. Owners are not stupid. There is a reason most don't want to be on the board.  You need to decide if you are more committed to the results than to personal kudos or anything else. Yes, you can create a better world, and why not begin where you live?
  23. Rebuild trust. Owners are shareholders but most are observers. The worst are underminers. So too for some board members. To say otherwise is dishonest and a symptom of denial. Operate accordingly. Create worthwhile goals and accomplish them. Nothing speaks louder than action. It will take a while, but real action becomes undeniable as the consequences become physical reality and manifestations of true commitment. 
  24. When crises occur many owners will feel that they have been betrayed. Some of the perpetrators probably sold their units and moved on. The rest are stuck holding the bag and the lingering boards will do what is necessary to protect their image and will look for others to pin the blame on. Some owners think that a condo is really an apartment which gains value and appreciates. They bought for no other purpose. They are irresponsible people with unrealistic expectations. Which is why some experts say the HOA experiment is failing. However, that may not be so for your HOA, nor should it be considered to be representative of all of the owners. Put in place things and take actions to unconceal the reality. And operate with the understanding that some of your neighbors are friendly or unfriendly parasites. 
  25. Lead by example. Some will get it but many will not. You will know them when you see them. 
  26. Recognize that when owners are faced with the specter of huge budget problems being fearful is a natural response. Large fee increases and  special assessments are scary to owners already financially tapped and trapped by the real estate collapse of 2008, as ours were.  Real fear puts people into "survival mode" and they may react in unpredictable ways. When personal survival is at risk, no one else matters. Some owners will go bankrupt or abandon their unit when under financial stress. Be prepared for this and be diligent in monitoring delinquencies. 
  27. Recognize that owners are expecting service. If they really wanted to be responsible for their personal lives, they would buy a home and be 100% responsible for all of the maintenance. They decided otherwise and chose a HOA where others can deal with the problems. Is it a fair system? Of course not. But you decided to purchase in a HOA too, and there are benefits. If you choose to serve, do it well and then move on. 
  28. Tighten up delinquency monitoring and fee collection systems. There are responsible ways for HOAs to do this. Consult with a competent attorney and do what is necessary. Payment programs may be acceptable but must be structured to accommodate the financial requirements of the HOA and the needs of the owners. Every owner is to be treated equally, fairly and impartially and must keep the rules. Paying fees is a requirement, not an option. 
  29. Determine the magnitude of the problem. That is a multi-step process requiring detailed evaluations of infrastructure and finances. 
  30. To determine the condition of infrastructure interview knowledgeable experts. Conduct detailed surveys of everything. 
  31. Develop a financial plan. This requires identifying costs and determining collections. If there are significant owner fee delinquencies, that reduces the ability of a HOA to pay for those infrastructure programs. 
  32. Establish maintenance and infrastructure priorities for 5- and 10-years. 
  33. If you haven't had a recent reserve study, get one. It is a valuable tool for boards if used properly, and another source for good decision making and planning. 
  34. Then develop the expenditure plan. 
  35. Then determine the funding plan. 
  36. Adjust the expenditure plan and funding plan to accommodate reality. When faced with a large infrastructure backlog and serious funding issues, it will be necessary to make adjustments. 
  37. Present the findings to the owners in a responsible way. An annual meeting is the best place to do this as such meetings usually have the greatest attendance. As an alternate, announce that a special finance presentation will be made during a monthly meeting. 
  38. Improve the communications. You HOA newsletter is a powerful tool. Use it well. 
  39. Treat all owners equally and fairly. That is essential to rebuild trust. The old "squeaky wheel gets the grease" and any favoritism based systems must be dismantled. Treating owners who attend meetings differently than those who do not is to be avoided. 
  40. The actions of previous boards may have created dysfunctional or at a minimum inadequate systems.  These need to be dismantled and replaced. The previous steps describe some of the steps necessary. There will be a lot of personal image protecting going on. Some entrenched former board members may work hard to protect their legacy and defend their bad decisions and even the poor decisions of other boards. That's "survival" for politicians.  You will have little access to counteract such obfuscation because their machinations will occur behind the scenes at social events and among "friends" who will spread this dysfunctional gospel. This doesn't mean that contractors, management and a variety of board members cannot be used for useful purposes. But do be aware that incredible damage to the HOA management systems has occurred, the owners are distrustful, some are really angry and some do feel betrayed. Some will attempt to undermine the board or any board, as will prior board members who created the situation; the best way to hide a lie is to perpetrate it. In such circumstances it is natural for owners to be distrustful and to go into "survival" mode. 
  41. Recognize that people are who they are. Some are incapable of change, although they may throw that word around with abandon. You must operate in recognition of this. I have learned that sometimes "You really can't teach an old dog new tricks".  They are embedded in their ways and lack the skill, vision and fortitude required. Their primary purpose is maintaining the past. 
  42. Recognize that the solution will require years. It is absolute folly to think that a problem created over a decade or more can be resolved in a year or two. A lot can be accomplished in 5 years, but 10 might be a minimum necessity. Design accordingly and so advise the owners. 
  43. Do what you can to educate the owner body. It is important that you as a problem solver recognize that you are merely one in a continuous chain of other problem solvers. When you go, and you will, there must be others to carry on the task. Do what you can to cultivate your possibly unknown replacements. I address owners during annual meeting with "I'm telling you what follows because every board member is, has been and will be an owner and the future board members for this HOA are among you".  The solution is out there. 
  44. Properly maintaining a HOA, particularly one that is large and 40 years old is a never ending challenge. Once boards fall behind they may never recover and the HOA could fail. Whatever you do, treat it as a program. Something that requires continuous improvement and diligence on the part of boards. 
  45. If you don't want to make the commitment required then you must decide to hope for the best or sell you unit. If you choose not to make the commitment then you will be in the position of "taking what you get" and it will probably be ugly. 
  46. Recognize your personal limitations. There is also a proper time to move on. Entrenched boards are a hazard to HOA health. Some owners really don't care. You do need to be responsible for your actions. 
  47. If, after all of the above the owners refuse to buy into the solution then I recommend that you sell your unit. If you remain you will only experience frustration and pain. 
If you are a board member and in this HOA financial predicament, what to do?
This is not a place a new board member wants to find himself or herself. Of course, upon achieve a board position some owners viewed me as the problem rather than the solution. Previous boards had done a good job of sowing confusion or creating obfuscation. There was a lot of confusion among owners. Who were they to believe?

If you are a board member who finds himself or herself in such circumstances what to do? If you were part of the team which created the problem, then you should resign. After resigning if you have useful skills then approach the new board and ask to be on a committee that is working to solve the problems. However, as you were a part of the problem, you should not be entrusted with the opportunity to vote, simply to guide and empower. If you think you can't do that, then move on.

If you are a new board member, point out to owners and older board members that you are part of the solution, not the problem. Point out that others created this and you will work to solve it. Do so publicly during the HOA meetings so the owners are informed of your intentions. Write articles for your HOA newsletter about progress and solutions. Let others publish the stuff about parties and entertainment. Being on the board has other purposes. Design some realistic demonstration projects, announce the intentions and carry them out. Nothing speaks louder than actions. Demoralized owners will need to see that there are possibilities.

Why this post, now?
If finances can become a hazard, then posting about the nature of the problem is reasonable. This post looks at what happens when HOA finances go seriously awry and at the approaches to deal with the problem. It is a real world example of turning around a desperately struggling HOA. Back in 2008 some of our owners were desperate. Some had given up and sold their units in desperation at the bottom of the real estate market. Some believed the problems could not be solved. Some put their heads in the sand and hoped. A few were really angry and lashed out at anyone they perceived to be a problem.  The perpetrators ducked and covered. It takes guts and integrity to communicate the issues and boards did not do that.

I'm here to say that most problems really are solvable and that there are people who can do this. What is lacking is commitment and skill. If one has commitment one can find those with the necessary skills. I have both and there are many, many others like me. There are also many who cannot yet purport to be capable. As one former board member said to me in 2008 "There really is no place for politics in a homeowners association". That is true, but nevertheless there are politicos among us and the uniformed are easily swayed. Which is why I decided to transform the newsletter of our HOA. That of course, required getting on the board.

Work on the Budgets
One of the duties and responsibilities of a HOA board is determining budgets. A companion task is setting owner fees.    Budgeting is always an interesting exercise, with real world consequences for owners. The annual operations & maintenance (O&M) is straightforward. This can be particularly so if one has a professional management firm which practices good bookkeeping. If a HOA has been in existence for a few years or decades, the task is basically about identifying annual cost increases.

The other aspect of budgeting is reserves. That is more difficult than the O&M budget, IMHO. Particularly so if boards sidestepped this for years or used an imprecise, guesstimate approach to determining reserves. But eventually there comes a time when the piper must be paid, and when it does the board must make difficult and unpopular decisions. Which board will make those decisions? Most likely not the ones that made the decisions that arrived at the financial crisis.

The Role of Reserve Studies
In 2010 my first act on the board was to review a recently completed reserve study that indicated a 10% fee increase and a loan for more than $1 million was immediately required for this HOA. After about 60 hours of serious spread sheet creation and analysis, many additional hours of infrastructure reviews and discussions with management I concluded it was not necessary and presented my findings to the board. I had about 4 weeks to do all of this. To assist the board I made a series of charts which laid out the finances for all critical infrastructure. At the time the HOA was in the early stages of a very large re-roofing program for 44 large buildings.  There was a genuine concern about how this would be completed and other pressing projects such as our failing streets would also need to be addressed.  Some board members were nearly catatonic with fear.

In 2010 our HOA annual contribution to reserves was $330,000; that's a sizeable amount, but barely adequate. The problem had been created more than a decade earlier. In 2001 the reserve contribution was a paltry $57,000. To put this into perspective, the insured value of our HOA infrastructure is about $90 million. Boards were annually setting aside 0.06% of the value of the infrastructure to accomplish 30 years of maintenance.

In 2002 the contribution was increased to more than $148,000 and it was increased every year thereafter. Not coincidentally the board had begun a very expensive roofing project.  By 2009 the contribution had increased to $330,000 but that was declared to be inadequate by the first reserve study in 2010.

In 2010 the problems were a large infrastructure repair backlog, insufficient accumulated reserves, a large and expensive roofing project undertaken in 2002 with less than 20% completion and streets that began failing 5 years after replacement.  For perspective our 2017 our reserve contribution was 7 times larger than that of 2001. In other words, we'll probably collect more in 2017 for reserves than nearly the entire decade of the 1990s.  Our recent owners had paid more than their fair share. Shame on the earlier boards.

These problems when combined indicated that the HOA had a serious problem and possibly insurmountable. There was a possibility the HOA would never recover. Angry owners, trapped by the financial disaster of 2008 and the collapse of residential real estate prices added to an already toxic mix.  The newly elected "revolutionary change" board elected in 2008 looked at the reserves and the large increase in collections since 2000 and were convinced that "We have enough money" as were the block owners who elected them. So convinced that in 2010 they undertook the first ever reserve study to prove that the HOA did, in fact, "have enough money". To the contrary, that study proved that the HOA had serious financial and infrastructure problems. Shortly thereafter the majority of that board left prematurely, using whatever pretense was handy to them. I didn't. I honored my commitment.

In 2010 I provided a detailed analysis to the board and then to the owners at an HOA meeting. Here is one chart I produced and presented  to both the board and to owners. It indicated that we could complete the roofing project in 2016, and we did!
I also created a program to deal with our prematurely failing streets. We have about a mile of streets and we did not only replace our major thoroughfare, but also the water mains below. Here is projection (goal) I provided to owners in 2014. We have completed Lakecliffe and Salisbury Court . We did some "mill and grinding" of Harrow Court in 2016 and have let the contract for replacement of Thames in 2017. We do have a program in place for the replacement of all of the cul-de-sacs at the pace of one each year. But it will be the responsibility of future boards to accomplish this:



15 years of Dramatic Finances
I've had the opportunity to study the finances of this HOA for 15 years. I've learned a lot about how boards and owners operate, how serious financial issues are approached and avoided (passed to future owners) and I've observed what happens when large budget shortfalls are revealed. I've made spreadsheets about the finances of this HOA for as many years. I've picked apart several reserve studies, revealed the serious flaws in one and I listened to the arguments made to avoid making the first independently prepared study for this association. I've observed the machinations of a variety of boards, and the convoluted logic that is sometimes applied to get the numbers to where someone on the board wanted them to be. I've watched boards argue in favor of holding fees stable and then watched the same boards flip and argue for even higher fees. I call that "whiplash budgeting".

HOAs are supposed to be operated as a business. Sometimes they are operated as a hobby, or worse.

How does one go about setting a reserve budget in the absence of professionally, independently prepared reserve studies? I'd say a difficult task becomes impossible. Boards really don't know where to start without such a study.

Reserves are long term funds saved for long term infrastructure repairs or improvements to HOA common elements or limited common elements. Examples include roofs and driveways. Long term finances go hand-in-hand with long term planning. Reserves therefore include funding and expenditures. Studies attempt to balance these for 30 years into the future. However, boards do have the ability to schedule repairs, so one method a budget can be balanced is to push some repairs into the future. In moderation, this might be a reasonable approach. Eventually the future becomes the present. At that point in time the money had better be available. We've had boards that channelled all reserve finances into a few large projects. Most notably the roofing project which commenced in 20002-2003 and was finally completed by me in 2011-2016.

If an association fails to accumulate sufficient reserves and simultaneously pushes maintenance into the future, this is a dangerous approach. I do have the evidence. When things reach end of useful life and the funds aren't available serious compromises will be made. Some vital repairs will be compromised. Boards may play "squeaky wheel gets the grease" and cater to some owners. Which will those be and which owners will be put at the end of the line? Whose property values will be negatively impacted while others are enhanced via improvements?  Boards really don't want to be in the terrible situation of picking winners and losers, but it does happen. When it does, it gets really ugly.  Then there are board determined winners and losers. No way to run a business.

Avoidance is preferred to reaction; it is best to be diligent, make difficult decisions rather than popular ones each and every year. It is best to undertake reserves studies made by qualified, competent people and to use them properly. Why? Some day those entry doors will need to be replaced. When that occurs, a board will dip into the reserves for the necessary money.  Studies alone won't be sufficient. They will need to be updated to include current realities. That requires intimate knowledge of the state of infrastructure. I call that "Knowing the condition of infrastructure via detailed and frequent condition surveys". Are there impediments to this? Of course. Boards are comprised of volunteers and doing all of this work is, well, it is work. Some board members may prefer to run the HOA as social clubs, popularity contests, personal fiefdoms or monuments to themselves. Others prefer to follow the "party" line and vote with their friends.

Bucking these trends creates enemies. It has at BLMH. Would you like to be walking in your HOA and have a little old lady scream "I hate you!". If not, then own a personal home or live in an apartment. If you choose to own a condominium then join the oblivious and never attend a HOA meeting or donate your time and services as a board member, as so many of our owners have chosen to do. Then you can come to HOA meetings and complain "How could this happen" or simply stick your head in the sand and hate the HOA and every board.

When Financial Problems Occur
Owners and boards may be inclined to give reserve planning little or no attention.  If that occurs, there will also be long term consequences. This post is about methods to deal with such consequences when they occur. There can be a light at the end of the tunnel, but that tunnel may span a decade, or more. In other words, it would be best to approach the problem as one which cannot be quickly fixed, if it is a serious one. That will require enlightened and educated boards who can demonstrate perseverance.

Yes, perseverance is a necessity. In our "instant gratification" entertainment, Facebook and Twitter based society that can be a real problem. Boards are elected for one or two years. Totally inadequate, in my opinion, but good for getting points and kudos in the modern school of accomplishment. Something to add to our resume on LinkedIn.

There are a number of resources available. I'd also suggest that boards reevaluate why owners purchased in the HOA. Consider those things as important and maintain them as a priority. Develop long term plans and promote positive outcomes. Stay the course, and if the problem is serious, be realistic about what can be achieved in a year, or 5 or 10. Determine methods to improve communications and implement them. Then roll up your sleeves and begin the real work of solving the problem.

If serious problems are revealed or occur, be prepared for some nastiness. Solving budget shortfalls requires raising fees higher than required for inflation. It may require special assessments. It could require cutting services, or transferring the maintenance of limited common elements to the respective owners.  Any of these solutions will be upsetting to people. Some people detest change. Some of the very people who argued for low fees may be the nastiest. The boards that governed earlier will attempt to deflect criticism. There will be finger pointing. Be frank and honest and if you are really lucky owners will elect someone else next time, because "shooting the messenger" is one way to deal with unpleasant facts. If you lose your position, consider it a blessing and move on.

Dealing with Reserves
A shortage of reserves always begins with the discovery of the problem. Once the problem is discovered, what is a board to do? Once that owners become aware of the problem, what are the owners to do?

There are two types of reserve shortfalls.
  1. Minor
  2. Serious.
In a larger HOA there may be 50 categories of reserve expenditures. If it is discovered that funds are insufficient for one or two categories, funds can probably be moved into that category from another, and if necessary fees can be adjusted over a period of several years. Minor inconsistencies can be dealt with if the HOA has overall adequate reserves.

However, the longer the period of time that funding problems and shortfalls exist, the more difficult it is to overcome. For example, in 2001 BLMH put $50,000 into reserves according to the balance sheet;  that was apparently the normal amount. In 2002 the board tripled that to $148,108 and by 2011 fees budgeted for reserves had reached $424,000. They have since been reduced. That's an amazing collection increase of more than $4 million. There were good reasons for these increases, and they were simply normal infrastructure aging. Previous boards simply hadn't saved enough.

We can do our best, but it is inevitable that there will be some shortfalls. Keep in mind that reserves are planned for and accumulated for decades. There will be annual fees, accumulations and expenditures. The typical reserve study spans 30 years. Such very long term planning is rife with problems because it is difficult to make predictions so far into the future. I prefer to focus on the future for 5-10 years because accuracy can be achieved. Longer term, finances will become fuzzier. The life of some infrastructure is more difficult to determine and certainly determining expenditures becomes more imprecise the farther into the future we gaze. I actually bring a crystal ball to our HOA meetings to emphasize to owners the degree of uncertainty.

The fact is we only have general ideas about the useful life of infrastructure. So planning 20-30 years distant is an educated guess. Who really knows what boards will be actually doing and spending each year in the future period 2027 to 2047?

Here's an example. In 2008 I asked the board what were the reserve plans for our trees, which were 30 years of age, and some older. Included were hundreds of ornamentals, old willows and ash. I was told "trees live a long time."  With the emerald ash borer, the hollowing of the willows and the dying of ornamentals and conifers, our "tree" replacement budget hit $58,000 in 2017. That was not a one year event and a lot of people simply didn't anticipate this. Furthermore, a lot was spent simply removing dead and dying trees. People also failed to comprehend the cost of removal.  Landscaping in 2016 as remediation was more than $50,000 to deal with about 90 tree removal locations identified in 2015.

If we don't have reasonable reserve accumulations, dealing with such issues can be impossible. This HOAs budget increase for 2017 including reserves was 1-1/2%.  Such a budget was only possible because of vigorous planning and applying flexibility to budgets since 2008 while pursuing an aggressive maintenance program. We are catching up.

It is also inevitable that there will be some excess funds in some categories. Good reserve budgets include some excesses. For example, the actual cost of street milling&grinding and curb repairs may be under the reserve budget.

Boards must be diligent and closely monitor reserve expenditures and funding. Some bookkeeping methods and frequent board turnover makes this task even more difficult. I've observed that some boards have little interest and even less skill at doing this.  Everyone wants to vote, but there may be little enthusiasm for doing the work required.

So boards do what they can. Sometimes they succeed well, and sometimes they fail spectacularly. How best to avoid horrible failures? In one short sentence: "Accumulate and develop quality information and budgets which accommodate what is discovered in that information, and use the information as a tool".

Major Reserve Failures
Dealing with major reserve failures is difficult. What's major? I consider funding shortfalls that require greater than 5% annual reserve funding increases to be treated as significant issues.  One might argue that point and say "If reserves are only 20% of the budget then why obsess over a 5% annual increase to 20%" After all, 5% of 20% is only 1% of the total annual budget. Here's my opinion:
  1. Reserve funding is a 30 years rolling task.
  2. All long term funding plans for reserves assume adequate current funding levels. That is a really huge assumption, and in our HOA that assumption in the absence of an adequate reserve study darn near destroyed the HOA. One must be operating at realistic funding levels before making general assumptions.
  3. Generally speaking, it should be expected that annual reserve contribution increases should match inflationary pressures. 
  4. Using 2% for inflation can be an acceptable approach if one wants to achieve fee stability, but there are exceptions. This percentage could increase to 4%.
  5. Annual 2% fee increases will increase fees by nearly 22% after 10 years. Annual 5% increases will increase fees by nearly  63% in 10 years and will nearly double fee contributions (100%) in 15 years. BLMH actually increased such fees by 783% in 13 years. Reserves as a percentage of annual fees increased from 7.7% in 2001 to a peak of 33.6% in 2014. Ouch!
  6. I think most of us would prefer to avoid special assessments. 
  7. Increasing and decreasing reserve study inflationary numbers needs to be approached with caution. No one really knows what inflation will be over the 30 year life of a typical study. Using short term event can be dangerous. For example. if there is a "spike" in inflation due to some disaster that effects oil and gasoline, that will impact maintenance and many materials. However, it is not wise to assume such changes will continue for decades. A change from 2.0% for inflation to 3.8% is significant. At 2.0% annual inflation a roof that costs $10,000 today will cost about $15,200 20 years from now. At 3.8% annual inflation that same roof will cost about $22,000. If your HOA has 44 roofs as ours does, such a change makes a huge difference. Does a board plan for spending about $667,000 on roofs in 20 years, or does it plan to spend 4963,000 in 20 years?  Coming to a solution will make a huge difference in owner fees. My suggestion is only make small incremental changes based upon frequent reserve updates, which will determine the future requirements based on the current "best guess" for inflation. How frequent? Not less than every 5 years.   
When special assessments are avoided, the only alternative when there are really serious financial issues are annual, continuous, substantial fee increases. That's apparently the decision of boards at BLMH in 2000 and beyond. This choice can collect the necessary reserves, but not quickly and it also penalizes future owners. Special assessments will hit current owners particularly hard. Most of the owners probably voted for the board(s) that ran the association and were present for the creation of the problem. This is particularly true at HOAs with long serving boards.

Incremental annual fee increases are a way of "paying it forward". If such fees include modest, continuous, incremental annual reserve increases they are fair to all owners, both present and future. If not, they may be kicking the can down the road and penalizing future owners.

If a board ramps up fees by large annual amounts, it implies that owners a couple of decades ago got a bargain while the current owners are carrying the budget.
What is a board to do when reserve issues are discovered? 
That's an interesting question. Remember, boards are fiduciaries who represent the owners. The owners are shareholders and all owners are to be treated fairly and equally. But let's look at discovery, first.

How are shortfalls discovered?
  1. Suppose a reserve study deviates substantially from accepted norms. Something appears to be awry. If this is your HOAs first reserve study it needs to be scrutinized and maintenance methods, situations, etc. need to be evaluated.
  2. A reserve study deviates substantially from accepted norms. This might be genuine and it should be approached as such while professional management and the board evaluates it.
  3. An unusual bid could be an indicator. For example, a board might think a roofing project is $800,000 but on getting bids, discovers the long term, real cost  will be $1,700,000. Of course, there is the possibility a very high bid is a flawed bid. That's easy to determine. 
  4. Common sense is something a board is supposed to exercise. For example, if an HOA has 84 driveways and a replacement costs $5,000, then it is reasonable to assume that at least $420,000 is required to replace the driveways over 10 year useful life (84 x $5,000).
  5. Common sense is also necessary for evaluating lifetime of common area components. Any roofer can state that a simple asphalt roof probably has a useful life of 20 years. What this means is such roofs will have a useful life of 18-22 years; some will fail at 18 year and some at 22. Likewise, an asphalt driveway probably has a useful life of 10 years and some may provide 12 or more years of good service, but some may not. 
  6. Boards should avoid "lowest possible cost" solutions. In most competitive situations labor and material costs are similar for licensed, bonded and insured contractors using similar materials. A very low bid probably includes quality deficiencies (less material, inferior material, alternative installation approaches, etc.). If a board chooses "lowest possible cost" solutions it should also consider that the "useful life" may be compromised and shortened. Simply choosing such approaches is a failure generator. While some might argue they are saving money for owners, it is more likely they are building reserve failures. Only proper specifications and bid analysis can provide confidence.
  7. If boards always use "lowest cost" approaches, that in itself may be an indicator of impending failure. Such approaches require adjustments to future costs, as roofs, or driveways or even streets may require more rapid replacement and won't have the "useful life" that was anticipated.
  8. If there has  not been frequent, professionally prepared and unbiased reserve studies that is an indicator of problems and one should assume the worst. 
  9. Failure of boards to communicate with owners is an indicator. 
When problems are discovered, boards should act vigorously and immediately to take steps to resolve the problem. Delays only make things worse, as budget shortfalls will accumulate. If a board fails to act upon discovery one could argue that someone isn't doing their duty. Failure to get reserve studies or reasonably frequent updates can also be argued to be a duty failure. After all, how can a HOA accumulate "reasonable reserves" if a board doesn't know the answer to the question "What is reasonable?"

A Reserve Problem is Discovered; Now What?
On discovery of reserve issues, the treatment is determined by the magnitude of the problem. If the problem is a major one, the best thing is to:
  1. Reevaluate the entire reserve budgetary program. If one area is seriously flawed, it is possible that other areas are also flawed. 
  2. Reevaluate maintenance plans. Some adjustments may be required. 
  3. Do not stop maintenance! Once a HOA falls behind in infrastructure repairs it becomes nearly impossible to catch up. That is unfair to future owners and future boards. 
  4. Re-evaluate 5-, 10- and 15-year plans. What adjustments can be done? What fee increases are realistic to reach necessary goals?
  5. Should the "necessary goals" be restated?
  6. When problems are discovered, there may be significant board turnover. The old boards may "duck and cover."  Owners should consider financial issues as the underlying cause of any large board turnover, particularly if there are board resignations.
  7. Owners may choose finger pointing and elect new boards. That in itself will not solve the problems. 
  8. New boards should roll up their sleeves and get down to work. It is reasonable to assume that previous reserve numbers and programs were flawed or inadequate. 
  9. New boards on discovering serious flaws may choose to walk, using any convenient excuse. After all, these are volunteer positions. Performing useful work may be considered to be optional.  That's a duty failure. It is one thing to communicate knowledge to owners and to state "I don't know how to solve this and I suggest owners find someone who can". However, I'd suggest a discussion with professional management and then provide owners with an authentic statement about the nature and magnitude of the problem. At that point board members can choose to resign if they feel they are inadequate to the task.
  10. Entrenched boards may decided to do the opposite. Hang on for the wild ride as "We are best able to guide the HOA." That is a matter of opinion. However, boards should authentically communicate the nature of the problem to the owners. Owners are shareholders. Some boards forget that and think they are stewards of the infrastructure and the owners are merely fee paying passengers. 
Of course, if reserve planning has been inadequate, then there are no good choices. By that I mean no choices that can avoid some financial pain for owners, and a lot of work for boards.  At BLMH, our first reserve study by an outside, independent firm occured when this 336 unit PUD was 30 years old. It revealed serious shortcomings in funding and also verified that recent fee increases were absolutely necessary. Owners and boards who thought "We have enough money" were wrong. However, they had been blindsided by earlier boards who were unawares or failed to reveal the magnitude of the problems. While routine maintenance continued and on the surface everything looked fine, in fact major infrastructure was failing and funding inadequate to manage the situation.

How to deal with major financial problems:
  1. Remember that this is a business and should be operated as one. Board members may have broad and varying definitions of this. Get clarity about what "running the business" means and the role of owners as shareholders. You will need it. 
  2. Good communications is vital. If the current board won't, can't or hasn't provided good communications, it should get someone on board who will.
  3. Don't accept board candidates' promises of a return to the "good old days." Those "good old days" are what got your HOA to where it is today, and that includes any reserve issues.
  4. If there are questions about the adequacy of reserves, an unbiased study should be performed as soon as possible. 
  5. In the interim, budget for the largest comfortable reserve fee increase. Your HOA will need it. 
  6. If studies have been performed, then one should ask why the studies didn't work and corrections should be made. 
  7. Owners should be reminded that they are ultimately responsible as the shareholders who elected all of the boards. 
  8. Make independent infrastructure surveys and make detailed lists of the condition of all of the significant aspects of the property. That includes roofs, garages, decks, patios, walks, driveways, streets, lighting, entries, etc.  This information will be useful to the HOA and to the firm that performs the reserve study.
  9. Using the detailed lists, come up with a plan to perform the necessary maintenance.
  10. In extreme cases, previous boards may have suspended vital infrastructure expenditures. This will exacerbate the problem and may disguise it. In some circumstances re-evaluating and altering plans may be required for up to 5 years, but after that future boards and owners will pay a steep price. 
  11. Reduction in services may be necessary.
  12. Patching as opposed to replacement may be necessary.
  13. Communicate the solution to owners as soon as possible. In a scarcity situation owners will be concerned about their property values. They will be concerned that their immediate area won't be maintained.
  14. Avoid the "squeaky wheel gets the grease" approach. Boards may attempt to placate owners by dealing with the most upset owners, to the detriment of others.
  15. Attend meetings and ask questions. Avoid fingerpointing. After all, owners elected the boards that created these problems and elected boards will deal with the problem. Owners share responsibility for these types of problems. 
  16. Look for the most qualified and form committees to assist the boards. 
  17. Be prepared for a multi-year struggle. It takes years for long term problems to occur and it will take years to resolve them. 
  18. Re-evaluate your personal budget. What can you do to deal with unanticipated fee increases? 

Note:

  1. I have been on the board since the fall of 2010. That's 7 years and my current term ends in the fall of 2018. I have been elected several times to this position, but that is not how it began. In 2010 there were a lot of owners who did not want me on the board. They preferred to drink the Kool-Aid. 
  2. I was not elected to the board in 2010 because I was popular. I was elected because some owners were desperate and a private letter to every owner had laid out the realities of the financial problems this HOA faced. There were sufficient owners concerned about the state of repairs and finances but I did not achieve sufficient votes for a position on the board. I missed by a few votes. However, the former treasurer who was re-elected declined a position so as to get me on the board. She has since sold her unit and moved. She obviously like the HOA and her parting act was a positive one for the association.
  3. Back in the 1990s I re-empowered my business to take on seemingly "impossible" projects. I was considered to be somewhat deranged. My company didn't do it on the cheap. Getting me to do this required more than $2,500 per day, per person plus expenses. Currently a pittance compared to attorneys who do almost nothing. But we created real value, improved businesses and saved thousands of jobs, a few businesses and helped to create a better future. I was paid to do this, of course. But for a few years my assistant was paid more than I was. That's the nature of change in real business. I wasn't an internet mogul, a politician or whatever. I was far more committed to making a difference than making money for myself. I suspect I am one of a dying breed.